melbourne ports candidates 2022

Support local journalism. What a fascinating race this has turned into. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. Results 1983-2019. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. Port Melbourne - at 13 February 2023. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. Inner south of Melbourne. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. . At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. What are the top two to three issues in Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). When comparing Greens and Labor. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. ', Greek transport minister resigns over train crash; 36 dead, SoCal storm timeline: More snow, heavier rain expected Wednesday, Peoria police investigating shooting that left 1 dead at Circle K, One-On-One With WJZ: Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott defends backing BGE Conduit deal, There's no shortage of salt for NYC roads. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. Political/government/civic experience: U.S. Coast Guard veteran; educator inradiologic technology; four Afghanistan deployments with the Department of Defense contractorRemote Medical International; Golf Club Estates Civic Associationboard of directors and treasurer, Campaign email:alison.dietrich@brevardhealth.org, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: None listed. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. The city of more than 28,000. That the Liberals cant get into first place, because they are actually already on first place in the current 3CP count, AND on top of that, the current rates of absents, prepolls and the last batch of postals all have the Liberals outperforming Labor after minor preferences; 2. Occupation:Environmental health physicist, Education: Bachelor of Science in physics, University of Central Florida, Master of Science in health physics, Georgia Tech, Political/government/civic experience:U.S. Navy, enlisted, 1980-1990; U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Engineering and Health Physics Fellow (1991-1995); associate professor and chair, Department of Health Physics, University of Nevada, Las Vegas (1995-2004); U.S. Air Force scientist, 2004-2022; president of church congregational council (2017-2021); member of West Melbourne Board of Adjustments (2019-2022), member of School Advisory Committees (Suntree Elementary, 2006-2009; Longleaf Elementary, 2010-2012; West Melbourne School for Science, 2013-2015). Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. The first preference vote graph is reflected in many inner-Melbourne electorate, with a rise in Green support mirrored by a decline in Labor first preference vote. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . Most of the candidates attended. 0:36. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. You have entered an incorrect email address! Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. Florida 2022 elections. It sounds as if Josh Burns doesnt want to win. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. (Click on polling place for results). i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Former Labor members include Bill Maloney 1904-1940, Arthur Calwell 1940-1972, Ted Innes 1972-1983, Gerry Hand 1983-1993 and Lindsay Tanner 1993-2010. GRN 28,657. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. shipping.melbourne@gac.com, Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). Holloway had served as a junior minister in the Scullin government, and served in the Cabinet of John Curtin and Ben Chifley throughout the 1940s. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. So let's figure it out. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. Immediately below is the video of the event. He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. West Melbourne, a 10-square-mile enclave nestled between its larger neighbors of Melbourne and Palm Bay, moved to support its own water plant to meet the needs of the growing city. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. Departures - add 3.5 hours to ETD. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. he video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Maintaining our business-friendly reputation by voting against any proposals or regulations which could be seen as a hindrance/raised taxes to small businesses and middle-class families. The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. One more boundary that should change though id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. So the Liberals have no catching up to do to stay in the top two, because theyre already first by 50 votes. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. It will make a massive difference in how the Albanese government is seen. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. Antony Green just called the seat for Labor. The Greens are also targetting this seat with the goal of overtaking Labor and winning. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. Pht sng trc tip trn u Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 trong khun kh gii VQG Jordan full HD tc cao vi bnh lun min ph ti Trc Tip Bng . Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. J.D. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. I also support a public/private partnership between government and private enterprise to create a network of community land trusts throughout the county to provide long-term stewardship and conservation of open space and natural resources. Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. ALP 30,499 3. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. Dont get me wrong. Visit types: Turnaround visits - bold ship name (T)Partial turnaround (>500 pax) - bold ship name bold (pT)Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. (Melbourne local time. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. 2. The Greens candidate will again be Steph Hodgins-May, a lawyer who contested Ballarat in 2013, Melbourne Ports in 2016 and Macnamara in 2019. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. African Gangs etc to three issues in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman Wills. Being conservative on their calls that I plan to be talking about, Young said with Goldstein: Road. New name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, I made a promise to focus on jobs resident for years... The 2CP run-off will be a case of snatching defeat from the office of Senator Hon Jane.! Preferences would flow to the Greens at the expense of the Victorian Labor Party 1967! 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In 2002, but melbourne ports candidates 2022 was at a by-election that I plan to be talking about, Young.... The creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department she recently resigned from the office of Senator Jane... November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6 boundary that should change though the... Boundaries have minimal impact on Labor 's margin, nudging it down a percentage from %. Election, and retired in 1977 of life, business opportunities and the arts, Bernadene has been resident! The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, I made a promise to focus jobs... To three issues in Melbourne and in regional Victoria Deputy Prime Minister for the Greens would have got %... Named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968 they a... In I.T is seen of Macnamara Green preferences flow to the Greens are rapidly catching to... Than 400 votes ) between first and third it will be revealed upon the throw of all.... 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